Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Anisimov on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Anisimov wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 49.1% vs Pavelski 51.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 72.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 71.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 73.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Anisimov
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Anisimov
Pavelski
Last 9: Anisimov 6-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
2
0
Anisimov
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Anisimov
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Anisimov
4
1
Anisimov
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (416)
50.4% (480)
-1.8%
Power Play
64.0% (50)
51.5% (97)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
60.2% (83)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Anisimov is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Anisimov shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Pavelski
Home
48.9% (327)
53.1% (311)
Away
48.9% (182)
50.7% (349)
By Period
Anisimov
Pavelski
P1
46.2%
55.4%
P2
46.0%
49.6%
P3
55.8%
51.7%
OT
35.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
48.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |