Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 33-16 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 93.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 90.9%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 87.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Soderberg
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
33
(49 meetings)
16
33
Soderberg
Pavelski
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
18
Soderberg
Pavelski
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
12
8
Soderberg
Pavelski
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
7
Soderberg
Pavelski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
53.6% (8,791)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
58.2% (2,122)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
50.9% (1,138)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Pavelski
Home
50.2% (2,703)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Soderberg
Pavelski
P1
47.4%
53.5%
P2
48.2%
55.2%
P3
48.1%
53.9%
OT
46.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |