Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eakin wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 51.9% vs Pavelski 54.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 74.4%
Defensive zone
Eakin 53.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 58.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Eakin
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Eakin
Pavelski
Last 6: Eakin 5-1 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
1
Eakin
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
1
0
Eakin
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (773)
53.2% (690)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
61.5% (174)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (105)
55.3% (47)
-7.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Eakin is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Eakin shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Eakin
Pavelski
Home
55.8% (473)
56.1% (421)
Away
48.2% (446)
53.9% (490)
By Period
Eakin
Pavelski
P1
48.2%
57.1%
P2
55.0%
55.8%
P3
53.3%
52.5%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
52.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |