Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.3% vs Pavelski 53.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 74.3%
Defensive zone
Krejci 68.2%
Neutral zone
Krejci 70.9%
Result
David Krejci favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Krejci
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Krejci
Pavelski
Last 6: Krejci 1-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Krejci
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Krejci
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (645)
54.4% (474)
-5.6%
Power Play
66.2% (68)
51.9% (104)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
52.7% (74)
-6.9%
On power play, Krejci has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Krejci is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Krejci shoots right. Pavelski is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Krejci
Pavelski
Home
51.9% (374)
54.3% (313)
Away
48.8% (363)
53.4% (339)
By Period
Krejci
Pavelski
P1
52.2%
51.0%
P2
51.4%
51.9%
P3
47.8%
58.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |