Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Fehr wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 51.8% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fehr 71.1%
Defensive zone
Fehr 74.4%
Neutral zone
Fehr 72.2%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Fehr
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Fehr
Pavelski
Last 6: Fehr 1-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fehr
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Fehr
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Fehr
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (783)
55.0% (785)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
62.7% (201)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
52.2% (161)
-5.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Fehr is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Fehr shoots right. Pavelski is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Fehr
Pavelski
Home
55.2% (444)
58.1% (580)
Away
48.7% (419)
53.8% (567)
By Period
Fehr
Pavelski
P1
50.4%
53.4%
P2
55.7%
58.6%
P3
49.7%
56.4%
OT
55.6%
36.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
52.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |