Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 52.1% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Sedin 89.2%
Defensive zone
Sedin 71.2%
Neutral zone
Sedin 75.1%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Sedin
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Sedin
Pavelski
Last 10: Sedin 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
6
2
Sedin
Pavelski
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
12
Sedin
Pavelski
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Sedin
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (896)
55.7% (849)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.6% (158)
60.0% (205)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
52.0% (152)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Sedin is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Sedin shoots left. Pavelski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Sedin
Pavelski
Home
51.3% (556)
59.2% (622)
Away
53.4% (541)
52.6% (584)
By Period
Sedin
Pavelski
P1
53.7%
54.1%
P2
53.4%
56.4%
P3
49.3%
56.4%
OT
56.3%
65.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |