Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +34.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.8% vs Dunne 41.8% (+34.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 90.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 81.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 88.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Pavelski
Dunne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Pavelski
Dunne
Last 5: Pavelski 5-0 Dunne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Dunne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Dunne
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Dunne
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Dunne
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (508)
21.4% (28)
+32.1%
Power Play
51.7% (118)
0.0% (1)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
0.0% (5)
+41.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dunne shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Pavelski shoots right. Dunne is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
By Period
Pavelski
Dunne
P1
48.7%
10.0%
P2
57.7%
18.2%
P3
50.2%
23.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Dunne
62.0%▲
45.2%
17.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |