Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Khaira on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Khaira 46.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Khaira 58.5%
Defensive zone
Khaira 68.5%
Neutral zone
Khaira 60.7%
Result
Jujhar Khaira favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Pavelski
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Pavelski
Khaira
Last 9: Pavelski 3-6 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Khaira
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
0
2
Pavelski
Khaira
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
0
3
Pavelski
Khaira
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
45.5% (325)
+7.7%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
36.4% (11)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
46.8% (47)
+8.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Khaira is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Khaira
Home
56.1% (421)
45.5% (198)
Away
53.9% (490)
45.4% (185)
By Period
Pavelski
Khaira
P1
57.1%
45.9%
P2
55.8%
41.3%
P3
52.5%
48.8%
Final 5 min
60.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |