Scouting Report
Kris Draper holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Draper 54.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.2%
Defensive zone
Draper 68.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.0%
Result
Kris Draper favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Pavelski
Draper
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pavelski
Draper
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draper
0
1
Pavelski
Draper
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Draper
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
52.6% (78)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
100.0% (2)
-41.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
58.1% (86)
-7.2%
On power play, Draper has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draper shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Draper is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Draper
Home
56.4% (5,998)
62.0% (71)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
52.6% (97)
By Period
Pavelski
Draper
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
55.2%
58.3%
P3
53.9%
56.7%
OT
52.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Draper
62.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Kris Draper |