Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Brodziak 51.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 86.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 61.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 63.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Pavelski
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pavelski
Brodziak
Last 9: Pavelski 6-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Brodziak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Pavelski
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
53.4% (631)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
40.0% (15)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
46.3% (121)
-4.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Pavelski is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pavelski shoots right. Brodziak is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Brodziak
Home
55.2% (458)
53.9% (410)
Away
51.4% (531)
49.9% (357)
By Period
Pavelski
Brodziak
P1
54.0%
53.2%
P2
54.5%
56.1%
P3
50.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |