Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 55.5% vs Chipchura 52.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 61.4%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 62.3%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 62.6%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Pavelski
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pavelski
Chipchura
Last 5: Pavelski 1-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Chipchura
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
1
Pavelski
Chipchura
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
2
Pavelski
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (849)
53.1% (326)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (205)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (152)
66.7% (3)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Pavelski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Pavelski shoots right. Chipchura is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Chipchura
Home
59.2% (622)
53.1% (147)
Away
52.6% (584)
53.3% (184)
By Period
Pavelski
Chipchura
P1
54.1%
45.2%
P2
56.4%
59.3%
P3
56.4%
55.4%
OT
65.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
64.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |