Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.7% vs 58.5%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Pavelski wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Malhotra shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 57.8% vs Malhotra 57.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 92.4%
Defensive zone
Malhotra 73.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 58.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Pavelski
Malhotra
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Pavelski
Malhotra
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Malhotra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
10
0
Pavelski
Malhotra
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malhotra
0
4
Pavelski
Malhotra
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malhotra
0
1
Pavelski
Malhotra
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Malhotra
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (569)
60.8% (640)
-3.0%
Power Play
60.2% (161)
62.5% (16)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (121)
52.9% (255)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malhotra shoots left. Pavelski is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Pavelski shoots right. Malhotra is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Malhotra
Home
61.0% (403)
60.4% (437)
Away
56.6% (461)
56.8% (479)
By Period
Pavelski
Malhotra
P1
62.9%
56.6%
P2
56.6%
60.9%
P3
57.1%
58.0%
OT
57.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
58.7%
Malhotra
56.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Manny Malhotra |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Manny Malhotra |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Manny Malhotra |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Manny Malhotra |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Manny Malhotra |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |