Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Letestu 52.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 90.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 64.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 73.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Pavelski
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
4
(20 meetings)
16
4
Pavelski
Letestu
Last 10: Pavelski 8-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
1
Pavelski
Letestu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
2
Pavelski
Letestu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
1
Pavelski
Letestu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
53.3% (4,565)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
56.0% (687)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
44.2% (1,005)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Pavelski shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Letestu
Home
56.4% (5,998)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Pavelski
Letestu
P1
53.5%
51.5%
P2
55.2%
55.0%
P3
53.9%
49.8%
OT
52.3%
51.8%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |