Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.6% vs Letestu 50.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 63.1%
Defensive zone
Letestu 51.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 58.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Pavelski
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pavelski
Letestu
Last 6: Pavelski 4-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (480)
50.3% (378)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.5% (97)
68.0% (25)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (83)
44.0% (84)
+16.2%
On power play, Letestu has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Pavelski is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Pavelski shoots right. Letestu is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Letestu
Home
53.1% (311)
51.9% (231)
Away
50.7% (349)
48.4% (256)
By Period
Pavelski
Letestu
P1
55.4%
48.0%
P2
49.6%
55.7%
P3
51.7%
45.1%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |