Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 55.5% vs Letestu 51.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 89.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 72.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 76.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Pavelski
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Pavelski
Letestu
Last 6: Pavelski 6-0 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (849)
54.3% (540)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (205)
57.1% (49)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (152)
37.6% (141)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Pavelski is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pavelski shoots right. Letestu is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Letestu
Home
59.2% (622)
53.6% (371)
Away
52.6% (584)
48.7% (359)
By Period
Pavelski
Letestu
P1
54.1%
51.2%
P2
56.4%
53.4%
P3
56.4%
49.1%
OT
65.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |