Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.5% vs Granlund 44.1% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 64.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 66.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Pavelski
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Pavelski
Granlund
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Pavelski
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Granlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (657)
42.6% (441)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.2% (221)
33.3% (12)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
52.6% (19)
-0.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Pavelski shoots right. Granlund is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Granlund
Home
57.4% (470)
44.0% (284)
Away
52.6% (468)
41.0% (188)
By Period
Pavelski
Granlund
P1
53.4%
45.8%
P2
55.6%
39.7%
P3
55.5%
43.2%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |