Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Janmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.5% vs Janmark 40.0% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 81.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 70.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 82.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Pavelski
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pavelski
Janmark
Last 5: Pavelski 3-2 Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Janmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
0
2
Pavelski
Janmark
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Janmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (657)
36.1% (238)
+17.5%
Power Play
60.2% (221)
40.0% (15)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
28.6% (7)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Pavelski shoots right. Janmark is 34.2% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Janmark
Home
57.4% (470)
33.3% (117)
Away
52.6% (468)
38.5% (143)
By Period
Pavelski
Janmark
P1
53.4%
38.4%
P2
55.6%
34.7%
P3
55.5%
36.0%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |