Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.9% vs Handzus 51.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Handzus 65.6%
Defensive zone
Handzus 68.0%
Neutral zone
Handzus 66.4%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Pavelski
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Pavelski
Handzus
Last 10: Pavelski 2-8 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
2
6
Pavelski
Handzus
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Handzus
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
2
4
Pavelski
Handzus
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (682)
51.2% (873)
+2.2%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
60.1% (178)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (160)
46.5% (241)
+1.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Pavelski shoots right. Handzus is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Handzus
Home
59.0% (527)
51.8% (681)
Away
49.3% (493)
51.5% (631)
By Period
Pavelski
Handzus
P1
50.8%
49.4%
P2
58.9%
57.5%
P3
53.6%
47.8%
OT
42.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2011 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |