Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 33-22 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 82.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 98.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 93.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Pavelski
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
22
(55 meetings)
33
22
Pavelski
Ribeiro
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
12
14
Pavelski
Ribeiro
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
14
5
Pavelski
Ribeiro
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
3
Pavelski
Ribeiro
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
42.9% (4,887)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
45.6% (930)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
33.3% (147)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Ribeiro
Home
56.4% (5,998)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Pavelski
Ribeiro
P1
53.5%
42.6%
P2
55.2%
44.3%
P3
53.9%
41.8%
OT
52.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 2, 2013 | OT | 04:12 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 2, 2013 | OT | 01:51 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |