Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.6% vs Koivu 53.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 59.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Pavelski
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Pavelski
Koivu
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
2
Pavelski
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
2
Pavelski
Koivu
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (480)
53.6% (739)
-3.2%
Power Play
51.5% (97)
56.2% (137)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (83)
53.7% (95)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Pavelski shoots right. Koivu is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Koivu
Home
53.1% (311)
56.0% (495)
Away
50.7% (349)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Pavelski
Koivu
P1
55.4%
54.9%
P2
49.6%
53.5%
P3
51.7%
53.6%
OT
36.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |