Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Koivu 54.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 61.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 84.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 65.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Pavelski
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Pavelski
Koivu
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
1
Pavelski
Koivu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Pavelski
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
2
Pavelski
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (643)
55.3% (1,219)
-4.0%
Power Play
58.1% (172)
63.5% (200)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
48.9% (280)
-2.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Pavelski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Pavelski shoots right. Koivu is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Koivu
Home
53.8% (431)
55.6% (846)
Away
51.1% (425)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Pavelski
Koivu
P1
48.4%
57.4%
P2
52.0%
55.5%
P3
55.6%
52.6%
OT
80.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |