Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Koivu 54.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 55.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 64.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Pavelski
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Pavelski
Koivu
Last 9: Pavelski 0-9 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
6
Pavelski
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Pavelski
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Pavelski
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
55.1% (672)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
56.5% (115)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
49.5% (107)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Pavelski shoots right. Koivu is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Koivu
Home
55.2% (458)
56.6% (410)
Away
51.4% (531)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Pavelski
Koivu
P1
54.0%
51.7%
P2
54.5%
56.7%
P3
50.5%
55.3%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |