Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.8% vs Koivu 48.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 84.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 66.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 72.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Pavelski
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pavelski
Koivu
Last 7: Pavelski 5-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Pavelski
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (508)
46.0% (63)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
42.9% (7)
-1.5%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Pavelski shoots right. Koivu is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Koivu
Home
54.3% (372)
46.6% (58)
Away
49.4% (324)
41.7% (12)
By Period
Pavelski
Koivu
P1
48.7%
70.0%
P2
57.7%
27.6%
P3
50.2%
47.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |