Joe Pavelski vs Nate Thompson

2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 55.5% vs Thompson 52.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor Thompson leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone Pavelski 50.0%
Defensive zone Thompson 66.9%
Neutral zone Thompson 58.8%
Result Nate Thompson favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Pavelski Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 10 (15 meetings)
5
10
Pavelski Thompson
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
5
Pavelski Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Pavelski Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski Thompson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pavelski
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (785)
54.4% (870)
+0.6%
Power Play
62.7% (201)
45.8% (24)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (161)
45.1% (162)
+7.1%
On power play, Pavelski has a +16.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Pavelski shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Thompson
Home
58.1% (580)
55.3% (510)
Away
53.8% (567)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Pavelski
Thompson
P1
53.4%
53.5%
P2
58.6%
52.2%
P3
56.4%
52.7%
OT
36.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
56.0%
Thompson
64.0%
59.0%
52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 31, 2014 3 00:00 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Dec 31, 2014 1 12:58 Defensive Nate Thompson
Dec 31, 2014 1 00:00 Neutral Nate Thompson
Dec 22, 2014 3 05:28 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 22, 2014 3 01:35 Defensive Nate Thompson
Nov 29, 2014 3 16:39 Offensive Nate Thompson
Nov 29, 2014 3 16:35 Offensive Nate Thompson
Nov 29, 2014 3 12:02 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 29, 2014 2 16:27 Offensive Nate Thompson
Nov 29, 2014 2 14:04 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 29, 2014 2 08:29 Offensive Nate Thompson
Oct 26, 2014 3 07:38 Defensive Nate Thompson
Oct 26, 2014 2 07:09 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Oct 26, 2014 2 07:00 Offensive Nate Thompson
Oct 26, 2014 1 18:38 Defensive Nate Thompson