Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Shore 50.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 83.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 58.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 69.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Pavelski
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Pavelski
Shore
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Shore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
4
Pavelski
Shore
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
2
3
Pavelski
Shore
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
51.8% (2,455)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
56.3% (64)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
43.1% (297)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Pavelski shoots right. Shore is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Shore
Home
56.4% (5,998)
52.0% (1,391)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
49.9% (1,425)
By Period
Pavelski
Shore
P1
53.5%
50.6%
P2
55.2%
51.2%
P3
53.9%
50.7%
OT
52.3%
73.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |