Joe Pavelski vs Patrik Berglund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 28 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Berglund 48.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 39-39 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 53.4%
Defensive zone
Berglund 57.0%
Neutral zone
Berglund 55.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Pavelski
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
39
(78 meetings)
39
39
Pavelski
Berglund
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
11
10
Pavelski
Berglund
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
13
15
Pavelski
Berglund
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
15
14
Pavelski
Berglund
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
49.0% (4,697)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
51.3% (548)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
43.2% (461)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Berglund
Home
56.4% (5,998)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Pavelski
Berglund
P1
53.5%
49.3%
P2
55.2%
48.2%
P3
53.9%
49.0%
OT
52.3%
39.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |