Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.6% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 67.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 66.0%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 68.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
6
Pavelski
Getzlaf
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Getzlaf
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (480)
48.1% (607)
+2.3%
Power Play
51.5% (97)
52.2% (67)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (83)
43.1% (65)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Pavelski is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Pavelski shoots right. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Getzlaf
Home
53.1% (311)
51.2% (326)
Away
50.7% (349)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Pavelski
Getzlaf
P1
55.4%
50.2%
P2
49.6%
47.9%
P3
51.7%
47.0%
OT
36.4%
36.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |