Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Weiss 53.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 62.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 62.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Pavelski
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
Pavelski
Weiss
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
3
Pavelski
Weiss
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
7
8
Pavelski
Weiss
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
2
Pavelski
Weiss
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
53.0% (2,521)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
54.6% (560)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
49.4% (245)
+1.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Weiss is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Weiss
Home
56.4% (5,998)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Pavelski
Weiss
P1
53.5%
53.5%
P2
55.2%
54.2%
P3
53.9%
52.2%
OT
52.3%
44.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2013 | OT | 01:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | OT | 01:34 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |