Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 33-17 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 91.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 71.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 88.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Pavelski
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
17
(50 meetings)
33
17
Pavelski
Plekanec
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
15
2
Pavelski
Plekanec
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
12
11
Pavelski
Plekanec
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
4
Pavelski
Plekanec
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
50.8% (8,558)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
51.3% (1,151)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
46.0% (1,924)
+4.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Plekanec
Home
56.4% (5,998)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Pavelski
Plekanec
P1
53.5%
52.5%
P2
55.2%
48.9%
P3
53.9%
49.0%
OT
52.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |