Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.3%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Zajac 54.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 62.8%
Neutral zone
Zajac 53.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Pavelski
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Pavelski
Zajac
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
10
5
Pavelski
Zajac
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
6
10
Pavelski
Zajac
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
9
10
Pavelski
Zajac
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
54.4% (9,056)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
59.1% (1,498)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
48.6% (1,599)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Pavelski shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Zajac
Home
56.4% (5,998)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Pavelski
Zajac
P1
53.5%
53.8%
P2
55.2%
55.6%
P3
53.9%
53.6%
OT
52.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |