Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Zajac 57.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 55.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 81.7%
Neutral zone
Zajac 75.6%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Pavelski
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Pavelski
Zajac
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
1
Pavelski
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Pavelski
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
58.7% (1,044)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
59.2% (211)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
53.9% (191)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Pavelski is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pavelski shoots right. Zajac is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Zajac
Home
55.2% (458)
60.2% (741)
Away
51.4% (531)
56.0% (705)
By Period
Pavelski
Zajac
P1
54.0%
53.1%
P2
54.5%
62.0%
P3
50.5%
59.0%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |