Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 29 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 48-40 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 89.1%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 60.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 63.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Pavelski
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
40
(88 meetings)
48
40
Pavelski
Fiddler
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
26
3
Pavelski
Fiddler
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
9
27
Pavelski
Fiddler
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
13
10
Pavelski
Fiddler
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
53.7% (4,899)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
50.0% (154)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
46.9% (1,479)
+4.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Fiddler
Home
56.4% (5,998)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Pavelski
Fiddler
P1
53.5%
52.1%
P2
55.2%
52.6%
P3
53.9%
52.0%
OT
52.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |