Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.9%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.9% vs Fiddler 53.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 84.3%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 71.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Pavelski
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Pavelski
Fiddler
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
2
Pavelski
Fiddler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (682)
55.2% (919)
-1.8%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
55.0% (20)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (160)
48.5% (268)
-0.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Pavelski shoots right. Fiddler is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Fiddler
Home
59.0% (527)
54.5% (583)
Away
49.3% (493)
53.4% (641)
By Period
Pavelski
Fiddler
P1
50.8%
53.3%
P2
58.9%
57.0%
P3
53.6%
51.8%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |