Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 57.8% vs Fiddler 50.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 93.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 66.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 89.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Pavelski
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Pavelski
Fiddler
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
1
Pavelski
Fiddler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pavelski
Fiddler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (569)
51.3% (840)
+6.5%
Power Play
60.2% (161)
60.0% (15)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (121)
47.8% (186)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Pavelski is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Pavelski shoots right. Fiddler is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Fiddler
Home
61.0% (403)
53.0% (530)
Away
56.6% (461)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Pavelski
Fiddler
P1
62.9%
53.3%
P2
56.6%
50.4%
P3
57.1%
48.2%
OT
57.9%
85.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
58.7%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |