Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 56.1%). Look for Burish on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Thornton 55.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.7%
Defensive zone
Burish 67.7%
Neutral zone
Burish 50.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Burish
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Burish
Thornton
Last 10: Burish 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Burish
Thornton
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
2
1
Burish
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Burish
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
55.8% (704)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
56.7% (208)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
56.7% (67)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Burish is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Burish shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Burish
Thornton
Home
60.7% (183)
59.0% (493)
Away
51.5% (206)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Burish
Thornton
P1
53.3%
55.3%
P2
56.3%
55.4%
P3
57.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Adam Burish |