Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.3%). Look for Burish on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Burish leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 85.6%
Defensive zone
Burish 74.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 61.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Burish
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Burish
Thornton
Last 10: Burish 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Burish
Thornton
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
8
1
Burish
Thornton
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Burish
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
53.5% (6,640)
+1.1%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
57.2% (1,387)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
56.7% (427)
-3.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Burish
Thornton
Home
58.1% (578)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
50.7% (698)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Burish
Thornton
P1
53.0%
55.0%
P2
53.8%
53.3%
P3
55.8%
54.4%
OT
40.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Adam Burish |