Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Thornton 49.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 66.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 67.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Henrique
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Thornton
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Henrique
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Henrique
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
48.9% (583)
+4.6%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
52.5% (59)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
58.3% (12)
-7.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thornton
Home
57.4% (467)
51.6% (341)
Away
52.7% (463)
47.0% (313)
By Period
Henrique
Thornton
P1
55.4%
53.9%
P2
56.7%
46.9%
P3
54.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |