Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 49.1% vs Thornton 55.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 74.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 51.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 68.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Steen
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Steen
Thornton
Last 5: Steen 3-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Steen
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
3
0
Steen
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (400)
55.1% (836)
-4.6%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
60.8% (181)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (105)
56.1% (82)
-10.4%
On power play, Thornton has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Steen is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Steen shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Steen
Thornton
Home
52.7% (260)
60.4% (528)
Away
45.6% (281)
52.2% (571)
By Period
Steen
Thornton
P1
51.1%
58.1%
P2
45.0%
55.3%
P3
50.9%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |