Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Anisimov wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 45.2% vs Thornton 54.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anisimov 77.2%
Defensive zone
Anisimov 73.4%
Neutral zone
Anisimov 73.3%
Result
Artem Anisimov favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Anisimov
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Anisimov
Thornton
Last 8: Anisimov 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Anisimov
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Anisimov
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
3
Anisimov
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (548)
52.8% (922)
-6.6%
Power Play
36.5% (63)
56.1% (196)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (66)
62.0% (100)
-24.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Anisimov is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (400).
Anisimov shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Thornton
Home
45.0% (322)
54.9% (597)
Away
44.0% (366)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Anisimov
Thornton
P1
38.7%
53.0%
P2
47.9%
51.2%
P3
46.9%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
44.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2011 | OT | 03:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |