Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Thornton 55.5% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 72.2%
Defensive zone
Jones 52.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 56.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Jones
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jones
Thornton
Last 6: Jones 3-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Jones
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
3
0
Jones
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
55.8% (704)
-13.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
56.7% (208)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
56.7% (67)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Jones is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Jones shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Jones
Thornton
Home
48.3% (149)
59.0% (493)
Away
36.6% (153)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Jones
Thornton
P1
42.6%
55.3%
P2
48.3%
55.4%
P3
38.3%
57.1%
OT
28.6%
59.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |