Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Thornton 57.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 68.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 69.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 68.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Horvat
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Horvat
Thornton
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Thornton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Horvat
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Horvat
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
58.7% (722)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
58.5% (147)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
51.2% (86)
-6.3%
On even strength, Thornton has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thornton
Home
53.1% (420)
60.1% (496)
Away
49.8% (428)
55.8% (459)
By Period
Horvat
Thornton
P1
52.4%
60.4%
P2
49.3%
54.7%
P3
52.8%
58.2%
OT
42.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |