Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.9%). Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Thornton 50.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 55.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Horvat
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Horvat
Thornton
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
4
Horvat
Thornton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Horvat
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
49.8% (544)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
54.5% (178)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
46.7% (15)
-1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thornton
Home
52.0% (767)
54.9% (355)
Away
48.8% (731)
47.1% (382)
By Period
Horvat
Thornton
P1
47.1%
46.0%
P2
49.4%
52.5%
P3
54.3%
55.6%
OT
57.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |