Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Thornton 49.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 77.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 77.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 73.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Horvat
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Horvat
Thornton
Last 8: Horvat 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Horvat
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
3
Horvat
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Horvat
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
48.9% (583)
+7.4%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
52.5% (59)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
58.3% (12)
-8.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thornton
Home
57.3% (742)
51.6% (341)
Away
57.4% (741)
47.0% (313)
By Period
Horvat
Thornton
P1
59.0%
53.9%
P2
59.7%
46.9%
P3
53.6%
47.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |