Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Thornton 57.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 77.8%
Defensive zone
Gordon 78.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 53.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Gordon
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Gordon
Thornton
Last 10: Gordon 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
12
Gordon
Thornton
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
2
Gordon
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
1
Gordon
Thornton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
57.0% (540)
+0.8%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
64.0% (111)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
62.0% (50)
-7.9%
On power play, Gordon has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. Thornton is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Gordon
Thornton
Home
60.3% (383)
56.7% (353)
Away
54.4% (406)
60.3% (348)
By Period
Gordon
Thornton
P1
58.4%
59.3%
P2
56.9%
60.1%
P3
58.8%
57.1%
OT
23.5%
47.6%
Final 5 min
58.5%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |