Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 54 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 72-50 in 122 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 89.9%
Defensive zone
Gordon 71.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 66.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Gordon
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
72
(122 meetings)
50
72
Gordon
Thornton
Last 10: Gordon 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
44
Gordon
Thornton
54 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
28
10
Gordon
Thornton
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
12
18
Gordon
Thornton
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
53.5% (6,640)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
57.2% (1,387)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
56.7% (427)
-4.2%
On even strength, Gordon has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Gordon
Thornton
Home
58.3% (3,125)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Gordon
Thornton
P1
57.5%
55.0%
P2
56.8%
53.3%
P3
57.0%
54.4%
OT
40.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
59.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |