Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.2% vs Thornton 54.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 55.3%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 56.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Dubinsky
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dubinsky
Thornton
Last 6: Dubinsky 1-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Dubinsky
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Dubinsky
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (503)
52.8% (922)
-0.3%
Power Play
63.9% (191)
56.1% (196)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (177)
62.0% (100)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Dubinsky is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Dubinsky shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Thornton
Home
56.8% (437)
54.9% (597)
Away
48.2% (438)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Dubinsky
Thornton
P1
49.6%
53.0%
P2
56.9%
51.2%
P3
50.8%
57.8%
OT
42.9%
72.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |