Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Thornton 52.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 55.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 62.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.1%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Tierney
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Thornton
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Tierney
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Tierney
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Tierney
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
52.5% (638)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
57.1% (35)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
50.0% (2)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Tierney shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Tierney
Thornton
Home
51.2% (521)
54.8% (341)
Away
50.6% (522)
50.6% (334)
By Period
Tierney
Thornton
P1
49.3%
55.2%
P2
50.4%
56.5%
P3
53.4%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |