Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Thornton 53.0% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 62.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Tierney
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
Thornton
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Tierney
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
56.1% (41)
-9.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
59.3% (27)
+18.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Tierney is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Tierney shoots left. Thornton is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Tierney
Thornton
Home
49.3% (286)
56.3% (32)
Away
42.1% (304)
58.3% (36)
By Period
Tierney
Thornton
P1
48.5%
59.1%
P2
41.1%
54.2%
P3
48.1%
59.1%
Final 5 min
36.2%
64.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |