Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glencross wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glencross 44.4% vs Thornton 54.1% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glencross 52.4%
Defensive zone
Glencross 67.1%
Neutral zone
Glencross 58.1%
Result
Curtis Glencross favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Glencross
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Glencross
Thornton
Last 6: Glencross 2-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glencross
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glencross
1
0
Glencross
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Glencross
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glencross
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (77)
52.8% (922)
-8.6%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
56.1% (196)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
62.0% (100)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Glencross is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Glencross shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Glencross
Thornton
Home
44.2% (43)
54.9% (597)
Away
38.8% (98)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Glencross
Thornton
P1
42.0%
53.0%
P2
39.5%
51.2%
P3
35.9%
57.8%
OT
55.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
31.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glencross
36.0%▼
44.0%
40.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 25, 2011 | OT | 03:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Curtis Glencross |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Curtis Glencross |