Scouting Report
Dainius Zubrus holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zubrus wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 55.2% vs Thornton 54.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 62.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 50.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 57.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Zubrus
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zubrus
Thornton
Last 5: Zubrus 2-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zubrus
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Zubrus
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (315)
52.8% (922)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.6% (104)
56.1% (196)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (28)
62.0% (100)
+2.3%
On power play, Zubrus has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Zubrus is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Zubrus shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Thornton
Home
58.7% (230)
54.9% (597)
Away
53.9% (219)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Zubrus
Thornton
P1
49.2%
53.0%
P2
63.7%
51.2%
P3
54.9%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
56.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |